Friday, 26 September 2025

How important are intangibles in accounting for productivity growth?

1. I was asked today: if intangible capital deepening slows, is that a big effect on productivity growth?  This is part of a broader question; what's the relative importance of intangible assets in accounting for productivity growth (value added per hour growth)?

2. Growth accounting allows a decompositition of labour productivity growth into the contributions of:  

a. reallocation = workers moving between industries of different productivity levels 

b. labour composition = increased skills, age and experience

c.  ICT capital deepening = increased ICT capital (computers, comms equip) per hour 

d.  NonICT capital deepening = increased NonICT capital (buildings, vehicles, non-ICT plant) per hour 

e.  Intangible capital deepening = increased intangible capital (R&D, software, artistic originals, design, marketing, business process, training) per hour 

f. TFP = increased total factor productivity (what's left over, which increased efficiency plus mismeasurement etc.)

Here are some results from our EUKLEMS-INTANProd database, in hopefully obvious notation.  Countries are US, UK, EU (France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Denmark, Holland, Austria, Sweden, Finland). Industries are all ommiting A (agriculture), OPQ (defence, education, health), B (mining), D-E (gas, electricity, water), F (construction).  All these are not well measured, and/or mostly public sector. 

As the results show, intangible capital deepening is much the most important contributor to labour productivity growth in the 2011-19 period (tangible capital deepening contributions is the sum of ICT and NonICT, which is still lower than the intangible contribution).

Table:  of contributions

 


And a picture


As we saw in a recent blog the employment rights bill will very likely lower intangible investment. That will lower intangible capital deepening, other things equal.  This then is a policy measure lowering the major source of UK productivity growth.  Not a good policy if you want growth to increase.