The bottom line is this.
1. UK intangible investment has held up much more over the recession than tangible.
2. When R&D is capitalised, on the official data, intangible investment (in software, R&D, artistic originals) will be the largest category of business investment.
3. Including other intangibles, like training, design, branding and organisational change, intangibles are more than all tangible investment combined.
Here are some details.
Start with the official data. The most recent data show that, although it has moved around a
bit, aggregate nominal market sector investment (national accounts: tangible
& including some intangible, see below) is currently at about the same level it was in 2005.
See below chart:
Nominal business investment, £bn, ONS data
Nominal business investment, £bn, ONS data
Within the aggregate, ONS breaks it into investment in tangibles and intangibles. The graph shows the pattern. Plant is at the same level
it was in 2003, and investment in vehicles is declining. All the growth
in the 2000s came from two sources: 1) Buidlings and the commercial property
boom; and 2) Intangibles (note, here we refer the official measure of
intangibles as recorded in the national accounts (software, artistic originals
and mineral exploration).
We can also include R&D, which will be capitalised in the National Accounts next year. The chart therefore also shows that once R&D is capitalised, intangibles will be the largest component of UK market sector investment in the national accounts, higher than buildings. Note too that UK intangible investment has held up remarkably well over the recession.
Note, these are the official measures of intangibles so do not include other assets such as staff training, design, organizational change, branding etc.. The series “Additional intangibles in the next chart includes these other assets.
So, what's the lesson? UK investment in intangibles has held up, relative to tangibles, remarkably well over the recession. And its big, and getting bigger. The knowledge economy is not going away.
Note all this data is nominal (i.e. in current prices)
The sources are a working paper released by Imperial, here: https://spiral.imperial.ac.uk/bitstream/10044/1/12846/2/Haskel%202014-01.pdf
Funded by NESTA, here: http://www.nesta.org.uk/publications/uk-investment-intangible-assets